Gun values · measured from the auction record
What does a Winchester sell for at auction?
Over the three years between Sep 2023 and Sep 2026, 3,245 standard Winchesters sold at auction one gun to a lot at Rock Island Auction Company and Morphy Auctions alone. Every one was measured for these pages: what the ordinary gun brings, by era and by configuration. No asking prices and no price-guide guesses — sold prices, and the exclusions stated below.
Typical prices, model by model
“Typical” is the median: half the guns sold above it, half below. Each model’s page has the full ranges and the recent sales.
| Model | Guns sold | Typical by era |
|---|---|---|
| M1 Garand | 105 | C&R $1,762 |
| Model 12 | 133 | C&R $1,959 |
| Model 21 | 135 | C&R $4,994 · Modern $12,338 |
| Model 42 | 102 | C&R $1,880 |
| Model 52 | 114 | C&R $1,528 |
| Model 61 | 112 | C&R $2,256 |
| Model 70 | 521 | C&R $2,350 · Modern $1,353 |
| Model 1866 | 140 | Antique $6,000 |
| Model 1873 | 413 | Antique $2,350 · C&R $2,400 |
| Model 1876 | 114 | Antique $3,525 |
| Model 1885 | 120 | Antique $2,115 · C&R $1,800 |
| Model 1886 | 284 | Antique $2,938 · C&R $2,214 |
| Model 1892 | 340 | Antique $2,337 · C&R $1,998 |
| Model 1894 | 444 | Antique $2,497 · C&R $1,476 · Modern $984 |
| Model 1895 | 168 | Antique $2,791 · C&R $2,350 |
C&R is curio and relic — the era code the auction houses give guns at least fifty years old at the time of sale. Antique means made before 1899, the line US federal law uses, drawn model by model on the pre-1899 cutoff page. Modern-made reissues of models whose original production ended more than fifty years ago are left out; they are a different gun.
How these numbers were built
- Single-gun lots only, standard guns only. Left out, and counted as left out: lots of two or more guns; deluxe and special-order guns (checkered or fancy wood, pistol grips, odd barrel lengths, special sights); engraved, inscribed, presentation, commemorative, restored, and refinished pieces; documented one-owner and famous-name guns; parts, barrels, and accessories. A deluxe or special-order gun sells for more than these figures, often several times more.
- Each lot is grouped the way the auction house coded it — antique, curio and relic, or modern — as of the day it sold. A gun that sold as modern a few years ago may be a curio and relic today.
- Half of the guns in each row sold inside the middle half (the 25th to 75th percentile); a quarter sold below it and a quarter above. Eight in ten sold inside the wider tenth-to-ninetieth band, which is the only range shown — the extremes are left out on purpose, since a title filter cannot catch every rarity.
- Prices realized as published by each house after the sale; both houses’ figures include the buyer’s premium. Condition and originality drive most of the spread inside a row.
A model grows a value section when at least 100 of its guns sold one to a lot in the window; the other models’ pages show their serial-number records as usual. When money turns on a specific gun’s date or originality, the document that settles it is a factory letter.
Think one of these numbers looks wrong? Tell us what you’re seeing — the data behind the site is versioned, and a correction that comes with a source gets fixed.
Questions
What is my Winchester worth?
It depends chiefly on the era the gun was made in and its configuration. Open the model's page on this site, enter the serial number, and the value section picks out the row of auction sales like yours — typical price, the range most sell in, and recent sales of the same era and configuration.
Do these prices include the buyer's premium?
Yes. Both houses' published prices realized include their buyer's premium, so these figures are what buyers actually paid, not hammer prices.
Why is my gun worth more than the table says?
The tables price the standard gun in ordinary condition. Special-order features, deluxe wood, factory engraving, and documented provenance all price above them, often several times above — and a factory letter is what documents those features to a buyer.
How do these compare with Blue Book gun values?
The Blue Book of Gun Values prints estimated ranges by condition grade, worked up by its editors. These tables are measured instead: what standard guns actually brought at two auction houses over three years, with the count behind every figure. Use them as a free check on any price guide, then let condition, originality, and a factory letter move a particular gun up or down.
Is this an appraisal?
No. These are sold prices for standard guns, not an appraisal of any particular gun. Condition and originality drive most of the spread inside each row, and a dealer buying for resale will offer less than auction prices.
Which models are priced?
The 15 with enough single-gun auction sales in the window — at least 100 each. A model's page grows a value section when it crosses that line; the serial-number tables on the other models' pages are unaffected.